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Deterrence
As a concept, deterrence has launched a thousand books and articles.It has dominated Western strategic thinking for more than four decades.In this important and groundbreaking new book, Lawrence Freedman develops a distinctive approach to the evaluation of deterrence as both a state of mind and a strategic option.This approach is applied to post-cold war crisis management, and the utility and relevance of the concept is addressed in relation to US strategic practice post-9/11, particularly in the light of the apparent preference of the Bush Administration for the alternative concept of pre-emption.The study of deterrence has been hampered by the weight of the intellectual baggage accumulated since the end of the Second World War.Exaggerated notions of what deterrence might achieve were developed, only to be to knocked down by academic critique.In this book, Freedman charts the evolution of the contemporary concept of deterrence, and discusses whether - and how - it still has relevance in today's world.He considers constructivist as well as realist approaches and draws on criminological as well as strategic studies literature to develop a concept of a norms-based, as opposed to an interest-based, deterrence.This book will be essential reading for students of politics and international relations as well as all those interested in contemporary strategic thought.
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Conventional Deterrence
Conventional Deterrence is a book about the origins of war.Why do nations faced with the prospect of large-scale conventional war opt for or against an offensive strategy?John J. Mearsheimer examines a number of crises that led to major conventional wars to explain why deterrence failed.He focuses first on Allied and German decision making in the years 1939–1940, analyzing why the Allies did not strike first against Germany after declaring war and, conversely, why the Germans did attack the West.Turning to the Middle East, he examines the differences in Israeli and Egyptian strategic doctrines prior to the start of the major conventional conflicts in that region.Mearsheimer then critically assays the relative strengths and weaknesses of NATO and the Warsaw Pact to determine the prospects for conventional deterrence in any future crisis.He is also concerned with examining such relatively technical issues as the impact of precision-guided munitions (PGM) on conventional deterrence and the debate over maneuver versus attrition warfare.Mearsheimer pays considerable attention to questions of military strategy and tactics.Challenging the claim that conventional detrrence is largely a function of the numerical balance of forces, he also takes issue with the school of thought that ascribes deterrence failures to the dominance of "offensive" weaponry.In addition to examining the military consideration underlying deterrence, he also analyzes the interaction between those military factors and the broader political considerations that move a nation to war.
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China's Strategic Deterrence
A well researched attempt to analyse the fast-paced progress made by China and its People’s Liberation Army (PLA) in the military-cum-geo-political landscape.President Xi Jinping’s ambitious dream for Chinese rejuvenation is to lead the world in Comprehensive National Power by 2049.The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has its core interests and is not ready to compromise.They are, therefore, advancing them on all fronts while simultaneously avoiding war.This book reveals the contours of this policy, identifies the key stratagems of the Chinese Grand Strategy, its implications and key deterrence facilitators. The PLA, ordered repeatedly to be loyal to the CCP, has accordingly established a nearly impregnable multi-domain wall to deter China’s adversaries, particularly America, India and Japan.The resource-hungry nation has exploited its vast industrial base and exploited its fast-expanding Diaspora.The Chinese government has channelized its scientific talent in conjunction with secret technology transfers and espionage to lead technology development, especially in the fields of Artificial Intelligence, Quantum, Robotics, Blockchain, Hypersonic and Big Data Analytics. This book is a comprehensive compendium of the key measures initiated by the CCP and President Xi to revive Han supremacy the world over.It brilliantly covers the PLA’s march from ‘Mechanisation’ to ‘Informationisation’ to ‘Intelligentisation’ It covers the major aspects of all possible Chinese domains of warfare and uncovers the Chinese secret methodology to rapidly expand her global sphere of influence. It is an essential book for all China-watchers, military strategists, advanced technology-gazers and those who actually want to stand up to Chinese hegemony and rising ambitions.
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Deterrence in an Era of Iranian Nuclear Proliferation
The Iranian nuclear saga has been of grave concern to the international community, namely the West and Israel, since news broke in 2002 that Tehran clandestinely operated two nuclear facilities in Natanz and Arak.The Islamic Republic of Iran claims that it is exercising its inalienable right under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty; however, the West and Israel distrust Iran's motives and believe that Tehran is seeking to develop nuclear weapons. Iran's nuclear program and bellicose negotiating strategy has triggered concern among the West and Israel, prompting the question as to whether their cause for concern is warranted.This concern is examined in Deterrence in an Era of Iranian Nuclear Proliferation by assessing the theories of nuclear deterrence and applying them in a 2008-2009 Iranian context to determine whether nuclear deterrence failures would arise should Iran acquire nuclear weaponry.
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Deterrence, Diplomacy and the Risk of Conflict Over Taiwan
Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine confirmed that revived great-power competition has heightened the prospect of global conflict, while restoring the concept of deterrence to centre stage.The stakes in a conflict in East Asia, however, would be even higher than those in Ukraine.A war over Taiwan could bring the United States and China, the world’s two greatest powers, into a direct military conflict which would represent a contest for regional or global leadership and would be likely to draw other powers into the fight.Such a war – in which the nuclear question would be ever-present – can currently be described as ‘possible, avoidable, but potentially catastrophic’. In this Adelphi book, Bill Emmott evaluates the diplomatic and deterrence strategies that countries in and outside the Indo-Pacific region are using to try to reduce the risk of that conflict occurring.This book examines these strategies in the light of the lessons of the Ukraine war and identifies yardsticks with which to gauge their potential effectiveness and sustainability.Our goal, Emmott argues, must be for all sides to regard such a US–China conflict as ‘inevitably catastrophic and therefore inconceivable’.
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Influence without Arms : The New Logic of Nuclear Deterrence
How does nuclear technology influence international relations?While many books focus on countries armed with nuclear weapons, this volume puts the spotlight on those that have the technology to build nuclear bombs but choose not to.These weapons-capable countries, such as Brazil, Germany, and Japan, have what is known as nuclear latency, and they shape world politics in important ways.Offering a definitive account of nuclear latency, Matthew Fuhrmann navigates a critical yet poorly understood issue.He identifies global trends, explains why countries obtain nuclear latency, and analyzes its consequences for international security.Influence Without Arms presents new statistical and case evidence that nuclear latency enhances deterrence and provides greater influence but also triggers conflict and arms races.The book offers a framework to explain when nuclear latency increases security and when it incites instability, and generates far-reaching implications for deterrence, nuclear proliferation, arms races, preventive war, and disarmament.
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Deterrence, Coercion, and Appeasement : British Grand Strategy, 1919-1940
Deterrence, Coercion, and Appeasement presents a compelling and original survey of British grand strategy in the inter-war period.Whereas most existing accounts privilege either diplomacy and foreign affairs, intelligence, or military affairs more narrowly, this study underlines the inexorable relationships between foreign policy, grand strategy, military force, intelligence, finance and not least, domestic politics and public opinion.Britain was the world's only global power in the inter-war period, and it confronted problems on a global scale.Policy-makers sought two goals: peace with security.They did so successfully in the 1920s, partly due to favourable circumstances that made their task relatively easy, and partly because they understood the strengths and limitations of British power and knew how to wield them.The situation deteriorated rapidly in the 1930s, however, as the international system became increasingly unfavourable to Britain.Policy-makers proved less adept than their predecessors at meeting these new challenges, partly because those challenges were more formidable, but also because they lacked the self-confidence of their predecessors, who had held high office during the most difficult years of the First World War and who lacked their understanding of how to wield the lever of international power.The study ends by providing a new and more sophisticated account of how and why Neville Chamberlain appeased the fascist powers in the late 1930s, and why Winston Churchill opposed him and eventually supplanted him in May 1940.
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The Russian Way of Deterrence : Strategic Culture, Coercion, and War
From a globally renowned expert on Russian military strategy and national security, The Russian Way of Deterrence investigates Russia's approach to coercion (both deterrence and compellence), comparing and contrasting it with the Western conceptualization of this strategy.Strategic deterrence, or what Dmitry (Dima) Adamsky calls deterrence à la Russe, is one of the main tools of Russian statecraft.Adamsky deftly describes the genealogy of the Russian approach to coercion and highlights the cultural, ideational, and historical factors that have shaped it in the nuclear, conventional, and informational domains.Drawing on extensive research on Russian strategic culture, Adamsky highlights several empirical and theoretical peculiarities of the Russian coercion strategy, including how this strategy relates to the war in Ukraine.Exploring the evolution of strategic deterrence, along with its sources and prospective avenues of development, Adamsky provides a comprehensive intellectual history that makes it possible to understand the deep mechanics of this Russian stratagem, the current and prospective patterns of the Kremlin's coercive conduct, and the implications for policymakers on both sides of the Atlantic.
Price: 20.99 £ | Shipping*: 3.99 £
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